Petroleum & Resources posted an attractive performance
over the past year, significantly exceeding the returns of our
benchmark indices. We are pleased to submit the financial statements
for the year ended December 31, 1999. In addition, there is a
schedule of investments provided along with other financial information
and the report of independent accountants.
THE YEAR IN REVIEW
The return on net assets, including income and capital gains
distributions for the calendar year was an excellent 23.8%,
exceeding the 21.0% rate of return for the Standard & Poor's
500 Stock Index and the 15.4% return of the Dow Jones Energy
Index. Total dividends and distributions paid in 1999 were $2.33
per share compared to $2.29 in 1998.
With robust growth in worldwide energy demand and surging
prices for both crude oil and natural gas, the operating environment
for energy companies was excellent throughout most of the year.
After an initial two-month, 7% decline, energy stocks staged
a dramatic recovery during the remainder of the first half as
the Dow Jones Energy Index advanced 17.7%. Despite this attractive
performance, a tightened oil market and oil prices in a $23-25
range, energy stocks declined a disappointing 2% during the
last six months of 1999. The comparable returns for the S&P
500 during these two periods were 11.6% and 7.0% respectively.
Investors seemingly disregarded attractive valuations in energy
and resource stocks while focusing on technology and internet
securities.
All of our energy sectors recorded attractive stock market
performance for the full year. Oil service and drilling stocks
were the big gainers with advances exceeding 30%. Major international
oils, mid-sized exploration companies and natural gas pipeline
stocks advanced approximately 10-12%. Gas utilities were the
laggards with a 4% gain. Our diverse holdings in basic industries
and paper and forest products stocks collectively outperformed
the S&P 500. Cash and short term investments at year-end
stood at 2.1% of net assets compared to 5.6% the prior year.
Oil prices ended 1999 at approximately $25 per barrel, more
than doubling from the year earlier $12 level. The initial low
price reflected the combination of substantial excess oil production
from OPEC countries and reduced consumption caused by mild domestic
winter weather patterns and sluggish foreign economic activity.
An agreement by OPEC and several key non-OPEC countries in mid-March
to reduce oil production caused oil prices to quickly advance
over 60% to $19 per barrel at mid-year. During the second half,
the combination of surprisingly solid OPEC discipline (averaging
approximately 87% compliance) and strong worldwide growth in
energy demand generated a significant reduction in global inventories.
With oil inventories declining to ten year lows, oil prices
moved steadily higher, recording a 30% gain over the final six
months to the highest level since the 1990 Gulf War. Led by
the economic recovery in several Southeast Asian countries,
worldwide petroleum consumption for the full year advanced in
excess of one million barrels per day or 1.5%. On the supply
side, production from non-OPEC nations experienced its first
decrease in six years with U.S. oil output declining 4.5%.
Despite the warmest winter weather conditions in 100 years
and an excess storage build up during the first quarter, domestic
natural gas prices were still able to establish a ten percent
increase for the year. The weakness in heating demand was offset
by a stronger economy and increased consumption by gas-fired
electric generators. With supply restricted due to reduced drilling
activity, the gas market tightened and prices recovered throughout
the summer. While fourth quarter heating consumption was disrupted
by 10% warmer than normal temperatures, the natural gas market
remained in balance and yearend gas prices held at attractive
levels.
INVESTMENT RESULTS
Net assets of the Corporation on December 31, 1999 were $565,075,001
or $39.48 per common share on 14,314,180 common shares outstanding
as compared with $474,821,118 or $34.30 per common share on
13,841,375 common shares outstanding a year earlier.
Net investment income for 1999 was $9,806,876 compared to
$11,060,345 for 1998. These earnings are equivalent to $0.72
and $0.82 per common share, respectively, on the average number
of common shares outstanding throughout each year. It has been
increasingly difficult to generate income in the portfolio as
both the percentage of stocks paying dividends and the percentage
of dividend increases have declined markedly in the past several
years. The dividend yield on the Standard & Poor's 500 has
fallen from 3.76% in 1990 to 1.16% in 1999. We continue to seek
out ways to generate additional income without impacting performance
through the use of convertible securities and other actions.
In 1999, our 0.43% expense ratio (expenses to net assets) was
once again at a very low level compared to the industry.
Net realized gains amounted to $22,803,830 during the year,
while the unrealized appreciation on investments increased from
$155,040,245 at December 31, 1998 to $230,465,953 at year end.
DIVIDENDS AND DISTRIBUTIONS
As announced on November 11, 1999, a year-end distribution consisting
of investment income of $0.22 and capital gains of $1.51 was
made on December 27, 1999, both realized and taxable in 1999.
On January 13, 2000, an additional distribution of $0.20 per
share was declared payable March 1, 2000, representing the balance
of undistributed net investment income and capital gains earned
in 1999 and an initial distribution from 2000 net investment
income, all taxable to shareholders in 2000.
OUTLOOK FOR 2000
Continued favorable worldwide energy demand growth, lean global
inventories and steadfast OPECproduction compliance suggest
that the oil market will remain in solid balance. With further
expansion of the U.S. and Southeast Asian economies anticipated
for this year, the growth of oil consumption should again exceed
1 million barrels per day or 1.5%. On the supply side, since
non-OPEC production will increase modestly as drilling activity
slowly expands in response to higher prices, inventory reductions
will continue until OPEC increases production. Also, Iraqi exports
are nearing capacity and will only expand gradually during the
year. The major oil-producing nations are scheduled to establish
new output ceilings in late March. Oil prices for the second
half will be dependent on OPEC's ability to maintain their newfound
discipline to these new production targets. While the current
lofty $25 per barrel price exceeds all industry and OPEC expectations,
the tight supply/demand balance for the remainder of the year
suggests that crude oil prices will stabilize above $20 per
barrel.
While energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 over the
past year, valuations for the group remain attractive, as investors
appear reticent to incorporate current oil pricing into a longer
term forecast. Once the crude oil price stabilizes, investor
attention is expected to refocus on the favorable ongoing industry
fundamentals. The Exxon/Mobil and BP/Amoco combinations were
the largest of the numerous energy mergers completed last year.
Although the scale will be smaller, several consolidations within
the various energy sectors are anticipated.
Domestic natural gas prices are expected to average 5-10%
higher this year. This positive forecast reflects the benefits
of a surging domestic economy on gas demand and supply constraints.
The risk to this outlook is that improving commodity pricing
and attractive drilling costs could stimulate excessive investment
and exploration activity. The themes for the year 2000 in the
natural gas industry are consolidation, capital discipline and
share repurchase.
SHARE REPURCHASE PROGRAM
On November 11, 1999, the Board of Directors authorized the
management to repurchase up to 5% of the outstanding shares
of the Corporation (approximately 700,000 shares) over the ensuing
twelve months, as long as the discount of the market price of
the shares from the net asset value is greater than 8%. It was
felt that, by so doing, the growth in the number of shares outstanding
would slow, the net asset value per share would increase, and
the dilution caused by the issuance of shares in lieu of cash
for the year-end capital gain distribution would diminish. In
addition, the liquidity of the Corporation's shares in the marketplace
should increase and the discount to net asset value could decrease.
This program is expected to benefit all the shareholders of
the Corporation.
As of January 13, 2000, a total of 125,400 shares have been
repurchased at a total cost of $4,021,973 and a weighted average
discount to net asset value of 17.7%. The Corporation was restricted
from buying shares until late in December, 1999.
YEAR 2000 READINESS DISCLOSURE
The countdown is over for Year 2000, and we have entered into
the new century unscathed. We are pleased to report there were
no system failures, either in- house or reported by any of our
critical vendors or portfolio companies. The Corporation incurred
no significant costs relating to the Year 2000 issue.
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The Corporation included in its Third Quarter Report to Shareholders
a postcard inviting shareholders to send us the names of investors
who might be interested in learning more about the Corporation.
We have received a good response to this initiative, with over
140 cards returned and information packages mailed out to prospective
holders. It is our intention to repeat the insertion in our
First Quarter Report and periodic future mailings. Please feel
free to provide us with names and addresses at any time, either
by mail, telephone, or through our soon to be updated website
at www. peteres.com.
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Mr. Allan Comrie resigned from the Board of Directors as of
December 31, 1999. Mr. Comrie, a director since 1984, shared
his extensive investment knowledge with the Board as former
President and Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. & Foreign
Securities Corp. We have been enriched by his participation
on the Board and wish him all the best in the future.
The proxy statement for the Annual Meeting of Stockholders
to be held in Palm Beach, Florida on March 28, 2000, will be
mailed on or about February 17, 2000 to holders of record on
February 14, 2000.
By order of the Board of Directors,
Douglas G. Ober,
Chairman and Chief
Richard F. Koloski,
President
January 21, 2000
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